Over the last year, ISIS has lost a significant amount of territory, but the group will continue to spread its influence. Al-Qa'ida in 2018 will rely on its affiliates to act autonomously as the group becomes more decentralized. NJOHSP places ISIS and al-Qa'ida as moderate threats to New Jersey in 2018.
In today's episode, our analysts discuss what 2017 looked like for these international terrorist groups and what the 2018 threat landscape posed by these groups looks like.
Homegrown violent extremists (HVEs) are individuals inspired—as opposed to directed—by a foreign terrorist organization, and radicalized in the countries in which they are born, raised, or reside. While international terrorist organizations have encouraged HVEs to carry out attacks, in many instances, personal grievances influence their ideology, target selection, and violent acts. HVEs can be radicalized through posts on social media—including Facebook, YouTube, and Telegram—that encourage attacks in the West or support for terrorists overseas.
In the year ahead, HVEs will remain New Jersey's most compelling threat. Join us as we discuss how HVEs continue to demonstrate an ability to operate in New Jersey and throughout the region, while connecting with like-minded individuals online and acting independently from organized terrorist groups, making them difficult for law enforcement to detect and deter.
An NJOHSP review of terrorism cases in 2016-17 demonstrates extremists in the West sought employment with private security firms in order to gain weapons experience and access to secure facilities. Although not all security personnel are given weapons training, the position affords credentials, uniforms, and access to otherwise restricted areas. For example, Dahir Adan from St. Cloud, Minnesota, wore his security uniform to enter a mall without suspicion and attack patrons in 2016. Khuram Butt from London sought employment at a security firm that specializes in working sporting events in June 2017 to potentially conduct attacks at the Wimbledon tennis tournament.
Join us on this episode of Intelligence. Unclassified. as we take a deeper dive into this emerging trend and how it has even affected our very own state.
Join us as we discuss the upcoming release of NJOHSP's 2018 Terrorism Threat Assessment. Discussion topics include the purpose of the threat assessment, how it has evolved over the years, and the threat extremist groups pose to New Jersey moving into 2018.
This podcast marks not only the 100th episode of Intelligence. Unclassified., but also the end of Season Two. We hope you found value in the topics we covered this year, and enjoyed our speakers as they shared their insights and enthusiasm. To commemorate this occasion, our very own Director Jared Maples joins Director of Intelligence Rosemary Martorana in reviewing 2017 in homeland security and what the future holds for our office.
Rutgers became a federally-designated Intelligence Community Center for Academic Excellence (IC CAE) through a grant award from the Defense Intelligence Agency in January 2015. Since that time, Rutgers University-New Brunswick has established a popular, new minor in Critical Intelligence Studies in collaboration with the SAS political science department; executed a number of certificate programs in intelligence/national security for undergraduate and graduate students across the University; hosted conferences on the most pressing issues in the field; and developed programs to prepare students for potential careers within the Intelligence Community. CCIS continues the work of managing and implementing all existing and new endeavors related to the IC CAE Program.
Join Analysis Bureau Chief Dean Baratta as he discusses this novel program with its advisor Ava Mejlesi and how it leverages ties with a variety of agencies to conduct research, develop practical initiatives, and provide educational and career opportunities for Rutgers students through increased opportunities for interaction with law enforcement and intelligence professionals.
Tune-in to this episode of Intelligence. Unclassified. as Analysis Bureau Chief Dean Baratta and Intelligence Analysts Alyssa Potter, Travis Gross, and Dylan Brody cover topics and trends of propaganda among al-Qa’ida, al-Qa’ida in the Arabian Peninsula, and ISIS.
According to the National Retail Federation (NRF), American consumers are expected to spend an average of $967 during the 2017 holiday shopping season. This is an approximate 3.5 percent increase from last year’s projections, and a majority of these purchases are expected to take place online. The NRF Consumer Survey found that online shopping is the preferred method of purchase this year for the first time in the survey’s history. Last year, Adobe reported that approximately $5.27 billion was spent in online sales between Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday, with $1.2 billion spent in purchases made through the use of mobile devices.
As the popularity of online shopping continues to increase, so does the number of potential unsuspecting victims for cyber criminals to exploit. This week, one of our cyber threat analysts at the New Jersey Cybersecurity Communications and Integration Cell (NJCCIC) discusses proactive steps to reduce your risk and make it harder for cyber criminals to succeed this holiday season.
In recent years, the world has been repeatedly shocked by the gruesome images and actions of ISIS, in particular the footage and stories of children as young as eight executing people. Children play an important role in the organization: the children of the caliphate are seen as "the future of ISIS," and therefore education and propaganda are an important form of indoctrination. ISIS uses minors for suicide attacks, executions and fighting. Research has shown that IS propaganda between in 2015 and 2016 included 89 eulogies of children and youths—a number that steadily increased each monthly, showing that ISIS has gradually opted for this tactic. The role of minors and their future causes international concern for a broad range of reasons. Growing up and potentially fighting in armed conflict will traumatize a large number of these children. Also, what will happen with these children if the Caliphate collapses? Human Rights Watch expressed concerns about the birth registrations that will most likely not be recognized by the international community – potentially leaving children stateless.
This week on Intelligence. Unclassified., Analysis Bureau Chief Dean Baratta had an enlightening call with researcher Liesbeth van der Heide from the International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT), where they talk about her recent paper, Children of the Caliphate. They will explore the findings she and her co-author provide on young or juvenile ISIS returnees, assessing what sets juvenile returnees apart from adult returnees or the broader population of young criminals, and scoping the potential venues and challenges in their rehabilitation and reintegration.
The VOX-Pol program’s second week-long Training Academy in the Netherlands is designed to provide policymakers, law enforcement, social media companies, and others professionally-tasked with responding to violent online extremism and terrorism with an introduction to the role of the Internet in contemporary violent political extremism(s), including the online strategies of violent jihadis and the extreme right; the role of the Internet in lone actor terrorism; the online behaviors of convicted terrorists; and online CVE (Countering Violent Extremism).
The Training Academy is composed of a mix of formal lectures and hands-on labs. The latter are dedicated to providing participants with an overview of tools and methods for research and analysis in this domain. This past summer, Analysis Bureau Chief Dean Baratta and Intelligence Analyst Paige Schilling attended the academy as presenters and participants. Tune in to hear their insights on this unique and valuable experience.